The market dropped sharply in the first trading session of the new week. By close, all three major indexes were off by more than 2%. Ironically, shorts didn't get much chance as the market stayed where it opened for most of the session. The weakness really started in Asia with the Shanghai Composite index tumbling almost 6%, extending its decline from recent peak to over 15%. Investors put much of their hope that recoveries in the emerging markets may lead the global economy out of the current Great Recession. However, even a V-shaped recovery will face some headwinds from time to time and last week's poor consumer data just provided a good excuse for some investors to take profits. Volatility surged today but remained well below where it was last October. We will continue to face some choppy times in the next few sessions but I don't expect a deep pullback due to the simple fact that many professional investors have already anticipated it. It is usually the unexpected that will have the most shocking effect in the market. We had some good economic news from the manufacturing front today. The New York Manufacturing Index rose to the best level since November 2007.
For the week ending on August 14, most major trends remain the same. Both 50-day moving averages and 200-day moving averages continued to trend up. In addition, 50-day MAs are above 200-day MAs. We mentioned a week ago that the market could face some short-term pressure as some major indexes were traded far above their 200-day MAs. Sectorwise, coal, computer makers and commericial banks were among the best performers while paper, department retailer and real estate were among the weakest.
All 10 major sectors finished the session lower led by basic materials and financial. The CRB commodity index declined 1.7%. The US dollar was higher against most major currencies. Treasuries rose with the yield curve flattened. The three-month US LIBOR was unchanged. The VIX index surged more than 3 points. The market breath was negative on both NYSE and Nasdaq. The volume was on the light side. |